Interim housing-led projections - high variant
type: Distribution
description: High variant of the interim housing-led population projections produced April 2026.
issued: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.879417
modified: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.872548

Interim housing-led projections - low variant
type: Distribution
description: Central variant of the interim housing-led population projections produced April 2026.
issued: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.879426
modified: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.872647

Interim 2024-based housing-led population projections
type: Dataset
landing page: https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/interim-2024-based-housing-led-population-projections-2wwq4
description: An interim version of the GLA's 2024-based housing-led population projections were produced in April 2026. These projections incorporated housing assumptions based on preliminary data from the 2026 London Strategic Housing Land Availability Assessment (SHLAA). Three variants of the projections are included here. All are based on the same housing trajectories, and differ in terms of the overarching migration, fertility, and mortality assumptions used: Central - 15 years of past migration patterns, principal fertility, principal mortality High - 15 years of past migration patterns, high fertility, high mortality Low - 10 years of past migration patterns, low fertility, low mortality The outputs are published here for local authorities and (2022) electoral wards within London and (2023) local authority districts in the wider region. The inclusion of areas outside of London in the housing-led model is intended to help capture the impacts on London's population of differing levels of housing delivery in surrounding areas. The extension of the model beyond London was deemed necessary following recent changes to the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF), which removed the previous link between trend-based demographic projections and assessments of housing need (and therefore local housing targets). Note: Results for districts outside of London are included in the outputs primarily for transparency and should not be interpreted as dedicated projections to be used for those areas. These projections were produced without reference to current or future local plans or assessments of housing capacity in areas outside of London. For districts outside of London, assumptions about future housing delivery were derived as follows: Objectively assessed housing need for each district was calculated using the National Planning Policy Framework's Standard Method Assumed housing delivery for each district was calculated by multiplying its Standard Method need figure by the ratio of: L…
issued: 2026-07-16T09:58:58.522000+00:00
modified: 2026-07-16T10:12:20.384000+00:00
publisher: GLA Demography

Interim housing-led projections - central variant
type: Distribution
description: Central variant of the interim housing-led population projections produced April 2026.
issued: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.879404
modified: 2026-08-12T15:14:58.872369